Archive for the '• Stock Market' Category

Investor Sentiment vs. SPY Price $$

Investor sentiment seems to be a pretty good measure of where the prices will go in the very short term.

Today’s update shows that bullish sentiment rose from 30%+ last week to about 45% this week. Looks like the price has further to go.

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investor-sentiment-spy-price

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$$ NYSE Daily Dollar Volume and Closing Prices

Last updated Feb 26th.

Prices are creeping up on about the same dollar volume.

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nyse-volume

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My Twitter Updates for 2010-02-19

  • Lunch break, guessing the close $SPY $110.50, I bet you two bucks #
  • Cute ☺ — RT @ColemanMichael Today's a gift, that's why we call it the present :-) #
  • Love the tune, thx for posting! — @ilove_peterburg Laid Back − Blue Lagoon #

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$$ $SPX $SPY Bear Flag

A bear flag on S&P index. Frankly I expected something like a June bottom, but it doesn’t look like that so far. Maybe it will move up after a quick retest?

I haven’t sold anything yet, still holding March SPY puts, April SPY calls and some now-penny-stockish t*rds BEE and LYG.

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spx2

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$$ 2009 Bradley Turn Dates

The Bradley siderograph was developed in the 1940’s by Donald Bradley to forecast the stock markets. Bradley assigned numerical values to certain planetary constellations for every day, and the sum is the siderograph. It was originally intended to predict the stock markets.

2009 turn dates were:

January 20-21
Feburary 8-9
June 3
June 26
July 14-15
September 14-15
October 22-23
November 9

The Bradley predicts turning points ONLY and not the polarity, i.e., a high in the chart may also be a low and vice versa.

Here’s how it played out in 2009. I’m using S&P 500:

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bradley_turn_dates_2009

If anything is obvious, it’s only in retrospect. I tracked the dates throughout the year and couldn’t figure out what they meant in ‘real-time’ – was it the top, is this the bottom? Will see if I can use them to predict anything in 2010.

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